Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.884589 4.636186 5.473848 6.473663 7.631403 8.926605 10.481923
2025-08-10 2.645973 3.560813 4.688530 6.168965 8.047834 10.338273 13.325307
2025-08-17 1.922805 2.866974 4.133874 5.932486 8.389800 11.594871 16.049752
2025-08-24 1.513709 2.466221 3.840305 5.923326 8.947036 13.112291 19.203104
2025-08-31 1.229078 2.169235 3.615992 5.939111 9.492585 14.620670 22.446338
2025-09-07 0.998969 1.901048 3.375315 5.871050 9.873822 15.895562 25.438468
2025-09-14 0.784689 1.609760 3.040670 5.590798 9.871236 16.569967 27.569181
2025-09-21 0.657420 1.443654 2.881795 5.564142 10.249310 17.836218 30.678823
2025-09-28 0.554603 1.300681 2.736745 5.533026 10.602477 19.075711 33.825745
2025-10-05 0.515433 1.276890 2.805559 5.888684 11.649090 21.524920 39.104398
2025-10-12 0.462120 1.211516 2.782303 6.065523 12.388621 23.507842 43.744108
2025-10-19 0.424736 1.173640 2.807049 6.334242 13.316224 25.877471 49.195452
2025-10-26 0.366070 1.075127 2.693926 6.321703 13.728799 27.400182 53.345620
2025-11-02 0.300018 0.942522 2.484559 6.081919 13.675107 28.076784 56.054102
2025-11-09 0.246978 0.829863 2.299644 5.865733 13.639081 28.773260 58.836753
2025-11-16 0.214521 0.765496 2.216955 5.861949 14.032714 30.303976 63.251104
2025-11-23 0.187788 0.710748 2.148131 5.879204 14.469007 31.944625 67.974834
2025-11-30 0.161203 0.648948 2.049898 5.812237 14.712936 33.218062 72.071821
2025-12-07 0.130758 0.564984 1.876150 5.534615 14.456072 33.455124 74.153949
2025-12-14 0.113613 0.521514 1.806397 5.508238 14.765886 34.875700 78.669635
2025-12-21 0.098711 0.481449 1.738799 5.477412 15.060236 36.281477 83.238603
2025-12-28 0.095860 0.487355 1.810667 5.829927 16.303483 39.797094 92.335776
2026-01-04 0.088567 0.473152 1.817767 6.005211 17.129936 42.460925 99.810368